Act now - for long-term problems
Before proceeding to a discussion of local, national, and global issues, this
Report sets forth a framework which argues that social and environmental
outcomes have a bearing on human well-being both directly and through
their effect on growth. When social and environmental issues are systematically
neglected for long periods, economic growth will be affected. That is why
improving the quality of life for those living in poverty today-and for the 2
billion to 3 billion people who will be added to the world's population over
the next 50 years-will require a growth path that integrates environmental and
social concerns more explicitly.
Some problems of sustainability are already urgent and require immediate
action; examples are local ecosystems where population is pressing on deeply
degraded soils, and forests and water stocks that have been nearly depleted. In
such cases productivity is already on the decline and opportunities for
correction or mitigation may even have been lost; abandonment of existing
practices and outmigration may be necessary. The urgency of some of these
problems has been overlooked because the people most affected are physically
remote from centers of power, or because their voices are not heard, or both.
Some issues call for immediate action because there are good prospects for
reversing the damage to the environment at relatively low cost, as in taking
measures against air and water pollution. Even then, undoing some of the damage
to the affected population (such as the respiratory damage caused by breathing
air laden with particulates) may not be fully possible. But knowing the health
impacts does create a moral imperative to protect those affected from further
exposure, to compensate them to the extent possible, and to prevent others from
becoming victims.
Another category of issues unfolds over a longer time horizon. The problems may
not yet be urgent, but the direction of change is unmistakable. For these, it
is essential to get ahead of the curve and prevent a worsening crisis before it
is too costly. Biodiversity loss and climate change are in this category: there
is already a need to adapt to the consequences of past and current behavior,
but there is also still scope for mitigation, though not for complacency.
Similarly, the need to anticipate urban growth by facilitating low-income
settlements in safe areas and by setting aside major rights-of-way and spaces
for public amenities makes it necessary to act now to avoid greater costs and
regrets later.
What is clear is that almost all of the challenges of sustainable development
require that action be initiated in the near term, whether to confront
immediate crises, such as the health risks to children from unsanitary living
conditions in existing slums, or to stem the tide of crises where concerted
action in the near term could avert much greater costs and disruption to human
development in the longer term.
In looking back over past successes and failures in solving development
problems, it is clear that there have been more successes where markets
function well (for example, in providing food to people with effective demand),
even where the problems that markets have to solve (such as transport and
communications) are relatively complex. The major problems that remain
(inclusion, poverty reduction, deforestation, biodiversity, and global warming)
are, however, generally not amenable to standard market solutions, although
markets can help solve subsets of these problems.
One difficulty is that environmental and social assets suffer from
underinvestment and overuse because they have the characteristics of public
goods:
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Sometimes, ignorance of the consequences of action leads to overuse or
underprovision. The ignorance is in part due to underinvestment in knowledge
and understanding-itself a public good.32
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In other cases there are no mechanisms for facilitating cooperation among
individuals, communities, or countries even when it is clear to those involved
that the returns to cooperation (especially in the long run), exceed the
returns to unilateral action (especially in the short run).
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In still other cases the gains from acting in the broader interests of society
fail to be realized because correcting a spillover has distributional
consequences and the potential losers resist change.
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Sometimes underprovision is a response to perceived tradeoffs between growth
and the costs of correcting externalities. These tradeoffs may be the
unfortunate outcome of having been boxed into a corner through a past failure
of foresight. Or there may be genuinely difficult choices in balancing
legitimate interests and assessing the value of nonmarket benefits and risk
reduction, especially if those who would benefit are dispersed over current and
future generations.
Environmental and social stresses reflect the failure of institutions to manage
and provide
public goods, to correct spillovers, and to broker differing interests.
Because the spatial extent of spillovers varies by problem, appropriate
institutions are needed at different levels, from local through national to
global. Getting to socially preferred outcomes requires institutions that can
identify who bears the burden of social and environmental neglect and who
benefits-and who can balance these diverse interests within society. This
perspective helps in understanding why technically sound policy advice (for
instance, "eliminate perverse incentives" or "impose charges on environmental
damages") is so seldom taken up.
The emphasis of this Report is not on identifying a specific set of policies or
outcomes considered advantageous but on the processes by which such policies
and outcomes are selected. Outcomes emerging from strong processes are more
robust. In many cases, and increasingly, institutions respond too late or too
poorly-or without the capacity to commit to a course of action. In today's
world the lag between the emergence of a problem and the emergence of
institutions that can respond to it is too long. We need to see farther down
the road. Why? Because institutions that facilitate and manage national
economic growth, and even globalization, are still inadequate, yet where such
institutions are in fact emerging, they are developing faster than
complementary institutions that might be able to avoid or cope with the
deleterious environmental and social consequences of economic change.
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